
Fourteenth International Workshop on Statistical Modelling, Graz, 1999, Proceedings
Herwig Friedl, Andrea Berghold, Göran Kauermann (Eds.)
Statistical Modelling. Proceedings of the 14th International Workshop on Statistical Modelling held in Graz, Austria, July 1923, 1999
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Contents
Invited Papers
 Copas, J.
 Overfitting and the Stein Factor
 Davison, A.C.
 The Bootstrap: A Tutorial
 Hart, J.D.
 Testing the Fit of Functions in Fully Specified Likelihood Models
 le Cessie, S., van Houwelingen, H.C.
 Score tests in random effect models: applications to clustering in spatial statistics and goodnessoffit methods
 McCulloch, C.E.
 An Introduction to Generalized Linear Mixed Models
 Skovgaard, I.M.
 Higher order likelihood asymptotics in practice
 Smyth, G.K., Verbyla, A.P.
 Double Generalized Linear Models: Approximate REML and Diagnostics
 Wakefield, J.
 Generalized Linear Models in Spatial Epidemiology
Contributed Papers
 Abrahamowicz, M., Quantin, C., Moreau, T., Faivre, J.
 Modelling Changes in the Predictive Ability of Baseline Measurements
of Prognostic Factors in Colon Cancer: Comparison of Statistical Models
 Aitkin, M.
 Nonparametric maximum likelihood for randomly missing data
in regression
 Biggeri, L., Bini, M., Grilli, L.
 A multilevel discretetime survival model for the time to get
job for a sample of italian graduates
 Bock, M.T.
 Some issues related to comparisons of nonparametric regression
models
 Brabec, B.
 A Nearest Neighbor Model for Regional Avalanche Forecasting
 Bustami, R., Lesaffre, E., Molenberghs, G.
 The Use of Smoothing For Testing The GoodnessofFit in A Bivariate
Generalized Linear Model
 Butler, R.W., Paolella, M.S.
 On Optimal Autoregressive Testing for Regression Residuals
 Carey, V.J.
 An approach to heteroskedastic additive modeling
 Dang, M.V., Govaert, G.
 Clustering of spatial incomplete data using a fuzzy classifying
likelihood
 Dannegger, F.
 Representation of Complex Prediction Rules Using Trees
 Denteneer, D.
 Heavy versus Random Browsers: Towards a Model for WWWUsage
 Eilers, P.H.C.
 Analysis of Variance with Curves: a Pspline Approach
 FrühwirthSchnatter, S., Otter, T.
 Conjoint Analysis Using Mixed Effect Models
 Gabriel, K.R.
 Biplots and their use for modeling
 Geskus, R.B.
 Methods for doubly censored data, with application to HIV/AIDS
cohort studies
 Gilchrist, R., Drinkwater, D.
 Fitting Tweedie Models to Data with Probability of Zero Responses
 Gous, A.
 Spherical Subfamily Models
 Green, M.
 Simultaneous Equation Models
 Haines, L.M., Litvine I.N.
 A Statistical Analysis of Judgement Matrices in the Analytic
Hierarchy Process
 Jørgensen, B., Ching, B.
 Multivariate Longitudinal Regression for Mixed Responses: The
Effect of Betaseron on Multiple Sclerosis
 Kastner, C.
 Missing values in nested longitudinal studies: A weighted estimating
equation approach
 Lambert, P.
 The stable and the skewed stable distributions for modelling
series of data with consecutive extremes
 Lang, J., Aspelund, T.
 Binormal AssociationMarginal Models For ROC Analysis
 MacKenzie, G.
 Survival Analysis for Longitudinal Data
 Martinussen, T., Scheike, T.
 Dynamic models for longitudinal data: a marked point process
approach
 Mayer, J.
 Bayesiantype count data models with varying coefficients: Estimation and testing against a parametric alternative
 Molenberghs, G., Burzykowski, T., Buyse, M., Renard, D., Geys, H.
 The Validation of Surrogate Endpoints in MetaAnalyses of Randomized Experiments
 Müller, W.G.
 Additional Comments On A Panel Data Analysis: Research and Development Spillover
 NúñezAntón, V., Zimmerman, D.L.
 Modelling Nonstationary Longitudinal Data
 Opsomer, J., Breidt, F.
 The Application of Local Polynomial Regression to Survey Sampling Estimation
 Ouwens, M.J.N., Tan, F.E.S., Berger, M.P.F.
 Local Influence for Repeated Measures Generalized Linear Mixed Models
 Payne, C.
 Helping to Win the UK Election With Statistical Models?
 Pflüger, R., Gefeller, O.
 A New Approach for Selecting the Bandwidth Parameter in Hazard Rate Estimation
 RabeHesketh, S., Pickles, A.
 Generalised linear, latent and mixed models
 Sauerbrei, W.
 Using resampling methods to assess problems caused by datadriven model building
 Sen, S., Kong, C.T.A.
 Confidence intervals for gene location: Model misspecification
 Shah, A., Qu, Y.
 A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Multivariate Longitudinal Data
 Shoukri, M.M.
 The Effect of Misspecifying the Frailty Distribution on Estimation of Relative Risk
 Spencer, N.H.
 Combining Modelling Strategies to Analyse Teaching Styles Data
 Vaida, F., Fitzgerald, T.
 Nonlinear Mixed Models with Censored Observations: Application to HIVRNA Data
 Verbeke, G., Spiessens, B., Lesaffre, E., Brant, L.J.
 Conditional linear mixed models
 Watier, L., Richardson, S., Green, P.J.
 Using Gaussian Mixtures with Unknown Number of Components for Mixed Model Estimation
 Yang, S., Pickles, A., Taylor, C.
 Multilevel Latent Variable Model for Analysing Twophase Survey Data
 Zucchini, W., MacDonald, I.L.
 Illustrations of the Use of PseudoResiduals in Assessing the Fit of a Model
Posters
 Allan, T.F., Holder, R.L., Moayyedi, P., Delaney, B.C.
 Modelling the outcome of six diagnostic tests in the absence of a gold standard
 Augustin, T.
 QuasiLikelihoodBased Correction for Measurement Error in Accelerated Failure Time Models
 Banuro, F.Y., Lesaffre, E., Lawson, A.B.
 A New Spatial Disease Mixture Model
 Barr, A., Goodman, S., Langer, A.
 Bootstrap methods for selection of variables and for investigation of model stability, and the application of these methods to Cox proportional hazards
 Barzi, F., Celant, G., Di Castelnuovo, A., Pesarin, F., Salmaso, L.
 Permutation Tests for Repeated Measures when the Number of Measures is Greater than the Number of Observations
 Bellio, R., Brazzale, A.R.
 HigherOrder LikelihoodBased Inference in Nonlinear Regression
 Bergsma, W., Croon, M.
 How much precision of parameter estimates can be gained by fitting a true model?
 Biggeri, A., Bini, M., Marchi, M., Braga, M.
 GEE models for the analysis of agreement
 Brambilla, C., Gagliardi, I., Schettini, R.
 On the use of a regression model for ordinal scales for contentbased image retrieval
 Brimacombe, M.
 A Functional Data Approach To Repeated Measures Analysis
 Capkun, G., Davison, A.
 An autoregressive rainfallrunoff transfer model
 Colombi, R., Forcina, A.
 An instance of generalized loglinear models with inequality constraints: the continuation logit parametrization
 D'Elia, A.
 A Proposal for Ranks Statistical Modelling
 De Martini, D., Telesca, D.
 NPSIZE: a Programme to Compute Power and Sample Size for Nonparametric Tests
 Delecroix, M., Hristache, M., Patilea, V.
 Bandwidth Choice for MEstimators in Projection Pursuit and SingleIndex Regression
 Demetrio, C.G.B., SpyridesCunha, M.H., Camargo, L.E.A.
 Modelling Mapping of Disease Resistance Genes in Maize Plants
 Dietz, E., Böhning, D.
 Zerotruncated Poisson regression for interval censored count data
 Dreesman, J.
 A closer look at Markov Chain Monte Carlo Maximum Likelihood and its Application to Gaussian Markov Random Fields
 Durban, M., Hackett, C., Currie, I.
 Blocks, Trend and Interference in Field Trials
 Escarela, G., Francis, B.
 A Frailty Model of Susceptibility with Competing Risks for Reconviction Data
 Ferrario, A., Giudici, P.
 Graphical Models for ExtraReturn Determination
 Ferreira, E., NúñezAntón, V., RodriguezPóo, J.
 Two stage nonparametric estimation under nonstationary errors
 Fielding, A.
 Hierarchical Random Effects Models for Ordered Category Responses: Contrasts with Scoring Grades in Educational Progress
 Filzmoser, P., Croux, C., Pison, G., Rousseeuw, P.
 Robust Estimation in the Factor Analysis Model
 Fokianos, K.
 A Time Series Model for Truncated Counts
 Franklin, J.
 Application of a Generalised Linear Model incorporating Measurement Error and Heterogeneity to a Metaanalysis of Published Data for Comparison of Paediatric and Adult Treatment Results in Hodgkin's Disease
 Freitas, S.M. de, Demetrio, C.G.B., Hinde, J.P.
 Modelling Overdispersion in an Entomopathogenic Fungi Bioassay
 Freitas, S.M. de, Ogliari, P.J., Leandro, R.A., Andrade, D.F.
 Generalized Nonlinear Mixed Models Applied to Longitudinal Discrete Data in Randomized Block Design
 Gago, M., Ferreira, E., Rubio, G.
 A semiparametric estimation of liquidity effects on option pricing
 Giummole, F., Ventura, L.
 Prediction limits for semiparametric scale and location models
 Gottard, A.
 The analysis of Dynamic Interdependence between Fertility and Female Employment by Graphical Models
 Gragert, T., Steigstra, J.C., Engel, J.
 Modelling and Computer Experiments
 Grzybowski, A.
 Simulation analysis of some regression estimators incorporating prior information
 JanicWroblewka, A.
 Data driven smooth tests for a locationscale family
 Jo, S.J.
 Individual's Mixed Growth Track Using Multilevel Model
 Jurekova, J., Picek, J., Sen, P.K.
 Goodnessoffit tests with nuisance regression and scale and their numerical illustration
 Kokonendji, C.C., Truongvan, B.
 Alternative approach of ML estimation for the removal method
 Konarzewska, I.
 Statistical modelling of risk and return on portfolio investments  polish stock exchange market
 Litvine, I.N., Litvine, T.E.
 Employing Poisson Distribution for Modeling and Forecasting in Soccer
 Martino, L.
 A multilevel mixed linear model with measurement errors
 Mejza, I.
 Model building and analysis for series of experiments carried out in incomplete splitblock designs
 Meyer, R., Millar, R.B.
 BUGS for Bayesian statespace modeling
 Niemiro, N.
 A Nonparametric Bayesian Approach to Credibility: Modelling Risks as Poisson Intensities
 Orbe, S., Ferreira, E., RodriguezPóo, J.
 Nonparametric estimation of time varying coefficients under seasonality
 OrbeLizundia, J., Ferreira, E., NúñezAntón, V.
 An Application to a Semiparametric Censored Regression Model
 Patterson, R., MacKenzie, G.
 Prototype Modelling of Body Surface Maps using Tangent Distance
 Petkova, E.
 Bias in the treatment effects estimated from double blind clinical trials in which the clinician is unblinded
 Pfeiffer, R., Jeffries, N.
 A Mixture Model for the Probability Distribution of Rain Rate
 Picek, J.
 Nonparametric Tests of Independence with Nuisance Regression
 Qu, Y., Shah, A.
 A Latent Variable Model for Multivariate Longitudinal Data
 Reeves, J., MacKenzie, G.
 A Bayesian Latent Profile Model for Longitudinal Data
 Ringrose, T.J.
 Constrained Multivariate Response Surfaces
 Roalfe, A.K., Davis, R.C., Kenkre, J.E., Lancashire, R.J., Marshall, T., Hare, R., Davies, M.K., Hobbs, F.D.R.
 Multidimensional quality of life measures; modelling techniques to adjust for confounders and differing populations
 Rønn, B.B.
 NonParametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Timetransformed Curves
 Rudolfer, S.M., Peers, I.S.
 Statistical Modelling of the Diagnosis of Carpal Tunnel Syndrome
 Schaedeli, F., Verotta, D.
 Mixed Effect Models Characterizing the NonLinear Dynamics of Viral Load During LongTerm AntiHIV1 Therapy
 Scherb, H., Weigelt, E.
 Spatialtemporal logistic regression of the cesium contamination and the time trends in annual stillbirth proportions on a district level in Bavaria, 1980 to 1993
 Schuster, E.
 Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) Methods for Handling Missing Covariates in Multiple Regression Models
 Senko, O.V., Kuznetsova, A.V.
 The Use of Partitioning for Analysis of Biomedical Data
 Shahtahmasebi, S.
 The application of instrumental variables in correcting model misspecification in the analysis of longitudinal observational data
 Shyr, Y.
 Statistical Strategies for Modelling the QuasiSinusoidality of TimeQualified Data
 Siqueira, A.L.
 Comparing Binary Response Models
 Skirta, E.A., Weber, E.M., MartinHayden, J.M., Ostrovsky, L.A.
 TimeFrequency Analysis of Lake Erie Surface Elevations
 Smith, A.J., Malik, Z., Nelder, J., Spence, R.
 Visualisation Tools for Model Making
 Steel, S.J., Louw, N.
 Selection Influential Points in a Financial Classification Problem
 Tan, F., Ouwens, M., Berger, M.
 On the Use of Cook's Distance for Longitudinal Regression Models with Random Effects
 Thijs, H., Molenberghs, G., Verbeke, G.
 The Milk Protein Trial: Influence Analysis of the Dropout Process
 Thompson, M.L., Nelson, K.
 Statistical modelling of doubly censored data
 Vidoni, P.
 Prediction intervals in generalized linear models
 Vrijens, B., Goetghebeur, E.
 The impact of compliance in population pharmacokinetic (PK)/ pharmacodynamic (PD) modeling
 Wagenpfeil, S.
 State space models with diffuse starting priors: Application in biometry
 WuethrichMartone, O., Steyer, R., Nachtigall, C., Suhl, U.
 Causality, Confounding and Unbalanced Analysis of Variance
 Yano, T., Kosaka, H.
 Formulation, Estimation and Forecast of an Energy Model: A Panel Data Analysis of MultiCountries
 Young, P.
 The analysis of ordinal longitudinal data using a constant hazard model
 Zadkarami, M.
 An Examination of the Endogeneity of Delivery (Natural/Assisted) for Perinatal Mortality
 Zichova, J.
 On a method of estimating parameters in nonnegative multivariate autoregressive processes
 Ziegler, A., Kastner, C., Mählmann, K., Brunner, D., Blettner, M.
 Familial Associations of Lipid Profiles: A Generalised Estimating Equations Approach
 Zocchi, S.S., Demetrio, C.G.B.
 Planning herbicide doseresponse bioassays using bootstrap

